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Will the mobile phone really eat the PC?



It's long been an article of faith for many mobile enthusiasts that
mobile phones are going to become the dominant means by which the
human race deals with the internet.  Lately that idea has been echoed
by more mainstream voices:"There are over one billion people in
emerging markets who will never access the Internet using a PC."--
Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen, on stage at CTIA, September 2008"Most new
internet users will be in developing countries and will use mobile
phones." --The Economist, September 2008 (link)"Mobile phones are the
future of computing, and they are ideally suited for accessing Web
services....(The mobile phone will be:)-the device most likely to
subsume the PC's computing and informational dominance-the most
functional and accessible device for conducting Web search-the natural
gateway to Web 2.0 platform applications and services"--E-Week,
October 2008 (link)I have a lot of respect for those sources, but in
their enthusiasm for mobile technology, I think they have made two big
mistakes:--They've assumed the internet is a thing, and--They have
forgotten about Moore's law.The internet is not a thingIt's a
collection of standards for data transport, storage, presentation and
so on. People do an incredible range of tasks that take advantage of
the internet, some of them well suited to a mobile phone and some of
them not.  Creating documents and graphics that you want to share
online, browsing content, and writing online comments all are
moderately to enormously easier when you're using a PC with a
keyboard, mouse, and larger screen.  They also benefit from having
large amounts of local storage, which you don't have on a mobile
phone.The idea that people in the developing world won't want or need
the benefits of a larger screen and keyboard is patronizing.  It
assumes that they'll be content to be second class citizens for many
Internet services permanently.If they can't afford a PC, of course
they'll do what they can with a mobile phone.  But that brings us to
the second assumption -- who says they'll never be able to afford a
PC?Moore's Law livesAs I've written in the past, some people in
Silicon Valley worry that we're starting to run up against physical
limits on the growth of computing performance (link).  Although that
may or may not turn out to be an issue at the high end of the market,
at the low end no such barrier exists.I'm told by friends on the
manufacturing side of things that the production cost of a
fully-equipped ultra-mobile PC or netbook (what we used to call a
mini-notebook) is now around $200.  The street price for basic models
is $282-299, a drop of about 17% in the last four months (see here,
and here).  Many of the key components in UMPCs, such as the screens
and optical drives, are also used in DVD players, which means they're
being manufactured in large volumes, driving rapid price erosion.UMPCs
aren't perfect -- the keyboards are very cramped, and the screens
display text so small that they can be uncomfortable to read.  But
they are far, far better than a smartphone for many computing and
internet tasks.I am not saying that PCs will become affordable for the
world's poorest people anytime soon.  But let Moore's Law continue to
chew on the UMPC, and I think a PC will soon be within the reach of a
working-class family in much of the developing world.The most likely
outcome is that most people who can afford a mobile phone and service
plan will also be able to afford a small PC if they want one.  My
guess is that they'll use both devices in the same way you and I do --
the phone will be better for some tasks, the PC for others.  The idea
of using one to take over for the other will seem silly, kind of like
using a hair dryer to cook dinner.Someday in the distant future, of
course, we'll have smartphones with flexible screens and fold-out
keyboards that can fulfill all of the functions of a PC.  At that
point, the line between your PC and your phone will blur, and you'll
be able to say that your phone has taken over your PC (you'll also be
able to say that your PC has taken over your phone).  But after
watching the lethargic pace of change in mobiles over the last ten
years, I think we've still got a long wait for the merger of phone and
PC.  Besides, integrating more features generally raises prices, so
the merger of phone and PC will happen first at the high end of the
smartphone market.  PCs will be dirt cheap long before they merge
physically with phones.





Posted by
Michael Mace


at
8:48 PM
 Permalink. 24 comments.  Click here to read post with comments.















Labels:
netbooks,
smartphone








24
comments:
        




wireless internet access
said...


I'm skeptic about the thought. Mobile phones are truly rising above
the market with its functionality and smart features, though It simply
won't surpass the PC's capability of surfing the internet. Very
intriguing topic that you come up with.




Sunday, January 04, 2009 11:11:00 PM










wireless internet access
said...


I'd just like to correct the 2nd sentence on my comment above. It's
"though It simply won't surpass the PC's capability of surfing the
internet comfortably."-sorry bout the mistake. Thanks!




Sunday, January 04, 2009 11:15:00 PM










Ajit Jaokar
said...


totally agree! I was born in India and it makes me cringe when I hear
this PC vs mobile arguement. It is not relevent. The Internet is not a
thing as you say. and the PC will definately thrieve as will the
mobile phone - but the idea that the phone will be used to access the
Internet is flawed for the reasons you say .. rgds Aj




Sunday, January 04, 2009 11:37:00 PM










emma
said...


Really very interesting and useful topic you've highlighted here. The
demands of mobile phones are increasing day by day with their
usefulness for several applications. But mobile phones are still not
so handy for surfing net and downloading different files. But
obviously they're developing along with new researches.




Sunday, January 04, 2009 11:44:00 PM










Giles
said...


I think, when talking about the "Developing World" that it is very
important to realise that this refers to the very poor. Here in South
Africa and even more so in other southern African countries a very
large percentage of the population live in shacks with no electricity
or running water. Everybody, and I mean everybody (!), has, or aspires
to have, a cell phone. A way can always be found to charge a
cellphone's battery while power for a pc can be a problem. Most people
won't even consider owning a pc for this reason, and because of the
cost of purchasing a pc in the first place. And we won't even go into
the difficulties of getting the pc connected to the web. A lot of
people are twigging onto what a smartphone can do for them and, as
they're going to have a phone in their pocket anyway, this is the
final answer. The average man in the street does not, and never will,
own both a phone and a pc. So you see... MOBILE WEB RULES!!!




Sunday, January 04, 2009 11:46:00 PM










Rob
said...


As Giles says, there are many places where people will own a mobile
phone long before they get a PC.I'm guessing that in the order of tech
purchases, a TV is probably going to come before a PC too.Now build a
cheap keyboard with a usb connector and a video out lead. Connect the
usb lead to your mobile and the video out to the TV. Now you have a
phone acting like a PC in the sense that it has a largeish screen and
a keyboard.I'm guessing that you could build the keyboard/tv for
$10-$20Now of course this is never going to replace the PC. However I
can see it as a realistic solution for a huge market segment who don't
need any more power than the phone can easily provide, but who would
benefit from a keyboard and screen.




Monday, January 05, 2009 4:03:00 AM










Oizea
said...


The major difference between mobile phone (mobile with interruptions)
and PC (static with much resources) is their context in use.Hence the
different form factor and constrains.The major issue is I/O: Input
(keyboard, touch screen) and Output(screen, voice).By no means this
will blur in foreseeable future and who claims a phone as netbook is
totally non-sense.@Rob: you may be interested by my concept of Oizea
Type. It can be an ultimately cheap solution for interacting with TV
with remote control.




Monday, January 05, 2009 4:52:00 AM










Varun
said...


Isn't this basically semantics we're arguing over? Whether it's a PC
masquerading as a mobile phone, or a mobile phone that's as powerful
as and a replacement for a PC, doesn't it all amount to the same
thing: a mobile device that's capable of interacting with the web in
the same fashion as yesterday's deskbound beige boxes and today's
lapbound beige notebooks?Or as Old Will might've put it, "What's in a
name? That which we call a mobile phone would still be able to browse
the internet. So a PC would, were it not PC called, still retain that
full internet experience".




Monday, January 05, 2009 8:44:00 AM










Bob Russell
said...


Don't forget that the PC won't stand still either, and they won't just
be getting cheaper - they will evolve in what they can do. PCs will
have entirely new capabilities that don't match up well with phone
capabilities. And there will always (in the reasonable future) be a
premium on small and low power that involves a tradeoff against
performance.For example, 3-d interfaces in PC with heavy graphical
processing requirements. Maybe even using an entire desktop as the
interactive screen display. I'm sure there will be other kinds of i/o
devices and ways of interacting that can't be done (right away with
phones). Also, heavy processing will be required for new types of
apps. Maybe to deal with extreme bandwidth real time processing, or
voice recognition or sight recognition, etc. Obviously I'm grabbing at
straws because we don't know what's coming. All I'm saying is that
future PCs won't look like what we see now. So advances in phones are
not going to catch up with PCs for a long long time.




Monday, January 05, 2009 9:09:00 AM










Andrew
said...


Nice article, Mike. I wrote a slightly different take on this issue a
few days back, coincidentally enough. Love to hear your thoughts.




Monday, January 05, 2009 10:29:00 AM










Oizea
said...


This post has been removed by the author.




Monday, January 05, 2009 11:03:00 AM










Michael Mace
said...


Thanks for the comments, folks.  They're very interesting.Giles
wrote:>>when talking about the "Developing World" that
it is very important to realise that this refers to the very poor. You
raise a very good point.  The term "developing world" is very vague,
and means different things to different people.  I was thinking of
people who are well off enough to be able to afford not just a mobile
phone, but a smartphone with data access, since that's what you need
in order to browse. Conditions are dramatically different in various
parts of the "developing" world.  As you point out, in many parts of
South Africa it's hard even to get power for a PC, let alone a data
connection.  On the other hand, I was at a presentation recently by
someone from Brazil, who talked a lot about the growth of wired
broadband there.  In countries where power and broadband are more
available, PCs become much more practical.Anyway, it's really hard to
generalize for the "developing" world as a whole.>>The average
man in the street does not, and never will, own both a phone and a pc.
You've got to put a date on a broad prediction like that.  In my
experience, "never" doesn't exist in technology, except maybe for
continuous speech recognition.Rob wrote:>>I'm guessing that
in the order of tech purchases, a TV is probably going to come before
a PC too. Yup.  Keeping in mind what I just said about differences
between countries, the Economist recently ran an interesting chart on
penetration of various goods among "non-poor" households in India.  In
descending order of popularity, the items were:Wristwatch, bicycle,
radio, color TV, landline telephone, refrigerator, mobile phone, car,
credit card.PCs were not on the list, unfortunately.>>Now build
a cheap keyboard with a usb connector and a video out lead. Connect
the usb lead to your mobile and the video out to the TV. But you'd
need a mobile capable of outputting video signals.  And a mouse.  And
a way to interface that to the phone.  And a special power adapter so
it won't drain its battery in 15 minutes when doing video out.  And
you need added storage for the phone, since you're now working with
more data.  And you need new software that can take advantage of the
larger screen size on the TV.I've been there and done that at Palm. 
By the time you've made all the changes, I think you could have bought
a netbook.  And it'd be better integrated.>>I can see it as a
realistic solution for a huge market segment who don't need any
more power than the phone can easily provide, but who would benefit
from a keyboard and screen. That's the crux of the discussion.  I
think almost anyone can benefit from the capabilities of a PC -- if
they have electrical power and a way to connect it to the Internet. 
If not, a phone will have to do -- but it's a second-class citizen for
a lot of important stuff.Varun wrote:>>Isn't this basically
semantics we're arguing over? Whether it's a PC masquerading
as a mobile phone, or a mobile phone that's as powerful as and a
replacement for a PC... Ultimately -- but only when all the features
of a PC will fit into a mobile phone's size and weight.  It'll be a
very long wait for that.Andrew wrote:>>Nice article, Mike. I
wrote a slightly different take on this issue a few days back,
coincidentally enough. Love to hear your thoughts. It's nice to hear
from you, and I like the article.  When I was back at Palm, I used to
say PCs are designed for creating information, while mobiles are
designed for easy access to information while you're on the go. 
That's still pretty much the case today.




Monday, January 05, 2009 9:36:00 PM










Anonymous
said...


If you assume a persistant display limitation and thus the need for
foldable display etc, you're likely correct with your doubts. But
what's about having a TFT + keyboard at home, and e.g. a
high-resolution head-up display (powered by the phone) when travelling
or for emerging countries if mains is unavailalbe? You'll do
predominantely creative tasks when you've e.g. the keyboard connected,
and consuming tasks if you've any HD display alone.The Nokia Research
guys elaborated this, and demonstrated that this works efficiently:
noBounds! project:
http://symbianwebblog.wordpress.com/2008/03/15/nobounds-expand-your-mobile-phones-display-to-a-hd-resolution/
This Video is quite intriguing. A remote GUI assembly with media
decoding seems very feasible and a very realistic partitioning for
mobile devices.Processing power: The ARM Cortex based OMAP3 is much
more efficient than an Intel Atom for the same application (e.g. HD
Video recording & playback).The lead is much bigger for
web-browsing due to the >100 times idle power consumption relevant
most of the time while browsing!  Whitepaper:
http://focus.ti.com/pdfs/wtbu/ti_mid_whitepaper.pdf  Beagleboard:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cXr-D1wROfQ  nVidea Tegra:
http://www.nvidia.com/object/product_tegra_600_us.html Appearently the
exisiting and even more the coming mobile device platforms are more
than powerful enough to handle PC like applications. Even fancy 3D
interfaces are supported. What's next?




Tuesday, January 06, 2009 11:30:00 AM










Michael Mace
said...


Anonymous wrote:>>But what's about having a TFT + keyboard
at home, and e.g. a high-resolution head-up display (powered by the
phone) when travelling or for emerging countries if mains is
unavailalbe? Thanks for the info.  It's intriguing.After thinking
about it overnight, I believe I was way too dismissive of Rob's idea
yesterday.  Sorry about that, Rob.  There's a very bad tendency among
some of us who worked at Palm to be dismissive of new ideas in mobile
because we tried similar things in the past and they didn't work. 
After all, if they didn't work for us it must be because the concepts
themselves were impossible, not that we did a bad job of executing on
them.  Right?So for both Rob's idea and yours, I think the right
answer is, "go for it."  But do keep in mind that whatever you do,
it's got to be incredibly simple to set up, use, and maintain.  Given
the financial resources of somebody in the developing world, you
should assume that they'll have zero tech support available.  And they
probably won't be as experienced at configuring tech as a typical
smartphone buyer.  It's got to work more like an appliance than like a
computer -- just turn it on and it works.




Tuesday, January 06, 2009 10:12:00 PM










Anonymous
said...


while i would really like to see netbooks get very cheap; i have my
doubts. they are already taking sales from dual core laptops. how will
manufactures be able to sell them very cheap without seriously hurting
the sales of higher end models. even intel will raise the price
considerably on the atom if it becomes too popular and starts hurting
core 2 duo sales.i think we will need a new platform and new
manufactures that sell only less expensive products before the netbook
really takes off.p.s. there will be no way to limit sales on cheaper
laptops only to the third world. even here in america most people will
drop there highend laptops in favor of a much cheaper option.




Wednesday, January 07, 2009 6:53:00 AM










Tim Meyer
said...


Like a Folio, another attempt at a companion is Redfly
http://www.celiocorp.com/ even if limited to Windows Mobile. As CPU
power in the phone increases this kind of application is no different
than any thin client protocols such as Citrix.




Wednesday, January 07, 2009 1:30:00 PM










Rob
said...


Hi Mike,glad you had another think about the tv/phone combo!just
thought I'd add some thoughts on how simple this could be.>But
you'd need a mobile capable of outputting video signals. kinda, it
would output a fairly low res (by computer standards) display signal
via the usb cable. Folks already do this with much higher res.
You'd do the conversion to video out in the keyboard.>And a
mouse. And a way to interface that to the phone. yup, through the same
usb cable. Not much work to do on the phone side to accept this;
blackberry already accepts trackerball input, winmob probably has a
mouse driver kicking around in there.>And a special power adapter
so it won't drain its battery in 15 minutes when doing video out.
the same usb cable will charge (as many do already)>And you need
added storage for the phone, since you're now working with more
data. I disagree with this statement. You can have a very useful
pc-lite with the 1-4gig of memory you have in your micro-sd card. Most
of your documents,email,etc can live in the cloud. Watch video on
youtube rather than downloading the movie (though you can fit movies
on sd cards easily too)>And you need new software that can take
advantage of the larger screen size on the TV.yes you do. Though
winmob is already ahead of the curve here; their os is pre-built to
handle multiple resolutions. I'm not saying this isn't a huge
job. Someone has to set a couple of standards (like usb video out) and
they have to rework their os to handle multiple resolutions and to
accept input from an external mouse and keyboard.But, once the OS work
is done, the device could be very cheap(keyboard,mouse,usb hub and a
video converter). I'd guess you could sell those for $20-30.
What's more, I don't think the build cost of the mobile phone
would go up by anything noticable - all we have here is a couple of
extra usb profiles that need software support.Not easy - but certainly
something that Microsoft could do as a way of controlling the
tv/web/computer in the developing world...The prize is "a
computer in every television"




Wednesday, January 07, 2009 6:35:00 PM










Anonymous
said...


It feels like people here have missed the last couple of years of
mobile technology!?TV out is already in high-end phones and it
doesn't kill the battery too badly (plus if you have a TV you have
power and can plug the charger in).  Ever hear of a Bluetooth keyboard
or mouse?  Currently available for <$50 when made in low volumes
(not much demand).  Could be very cheap if there was a significant
demand!An OS supporting multiple resolutions, TV Out, external input
devices - have you heard of Symbian?  Yes it's only at the
mid-to-high-end now but it's currently going open source and
royalty-free.Storage space?  16GB+ cards already and NAND flash
technology generally growing much faster than we can fill it with
stuff.Can only browse on a smartphone?  Nokia's S40 mass-market
platform has the Webkit browser.I'd counter the criticism that
"the internet is not a thing" by replacing the word
"internet" with "digital content and services". 
If you think that mobile access hasn't already overtaken the PC in
many markets you should probably read Tomi Ahonen.I think the main
point is that PCs have been over-powered for the software we can
create to run on them (with a few exceptions, like 3D games and
anything new by Microsoft) for years now and as things go portable and
cheap it will be the hardware and software that's optimized for
low power consumption that dominates.Whatever sells the most will have
the economies of scale to bring costs down and mobile phones have a
massive advantage there.Hardware and software have moved on a long way
since Palm last did anything interesting. :)




Thursday, January 08, 2009 8:45:00 AM










Anonymous
said...


P.S. To answer the original question in the title, despite what I said
in the last comment, NO - the mobile phone will not eat the PC.  There
will always be a market at the top end for the most powerful hardware
that needs to be plugged into the mains all the time.  Just don't
expect PCs to spread all over the "developing world".




Thursday, January 08, 2009 8:50:00 AM










Reda EK
said...


"Anonymous said...    It feels like people here have missed the last
couple of years of mobile technology!?"Totally agree. It's a very
interesting discussion but somehow the lack of reference to existing
technologies (e.g. N95+keyboard) takes out some credibility to the
post and comments.Personally I think that in a world that is
converging, netbook and mobile phones will soon be able to provide the
same functionalities and therefore it will only be a different "price
proposition". That is to say, in the same way you have Nokia 1111 and
N99 (fictitious names) addressing different niches, a mobile, a
mobile+computer package (i.e. peripherals) and a mobile + netbook will
address different niches. Just my two cents




Thursday, January 08, 2009 12:13:00 PM










Michael Mace
said...


Folks, thanks for all the comments; it's an interesting discussion. 
But I'd like everybody to keep in mind that it's a big and wickedly
complex industry and it's possible for people to disagree because they
have different opinions and experiences, not because one party or the
other is out of touch.  We'll learn more from each other if we focus
on comparing notes rather than stereotyping each other.




Thursday, January 08, 2009 11:36:00 PM










Dean Bubley
said...


Hi MichaelThis is something I have extremely strong opinions about -
and something on which I regularly cross swords with other
commentators like Tomi Ahonen. I regularly hear the myth perpetuated
that "the next billion people will use the Internet on a mobile
phone".It is (largely) nonsense.The first thing to be aware of is
that often the definition of "Internet" varies - the
mobilistas tend to include anything which uses a WAP or HTML browser,
including closed-garden operator portals selling ringtones or a few
news headlines. To my mind, that is no more the Internet than a bank
ATM machine or a TV set-top box.The second thing is that there's a
huge difference between PC *ownership* and PC *use*. In developing
markets, PCs are more likely to be family purchases rather than
individual purchases. Or they are used in Internet cafes or schools.
They are also likely to be used for entertainment, especially with
full-sized video CDs obtainable cheaply (if illegally) in markets
& street corners. Many commentators appear not to have travelled
extensively. I have - and I've seen places in Bolivia full of kids
using MSN on PCs, or doing homework in Mozambique. It's telling
that even the GSMAs "Mobile Planet" video features a shack
full of PCs - connected by HSDPA modems, but PCs nonetheless.Lastly,
it's critical to consider the fact that phones are totally
unsuitable for businesses and software development. Most governments
want (a) PC-literate people to run companies using SAP and accounting
software, and (b) A local software industry. For this reason, it is
imperative for most countries to maintain a high level of PC
penetration and competence.Lastly - PCs are usually cheaper than
smartphones, if you take longer lifespans into account. Most phones
will start to fall apart after 18-24 months.The only country with a
lot of "phone-only" Internet users is Japan. A year ago, I
tried to quantify the mobile / PC / both user base. My analysis is
here:http://disruptivewireless.blogspot.com/2008/01/mobile-vs-fixed-internet-users-2-its.htmlRegardsDean
Bubley




Monday, January 12, 2009 4:47:00 AM










Michael Mace
said...


Thanks, Dean.I agree.I like your point about usage vs. ownership.  I
hadn't thought about it that way.>>PCs are usually cheaper than
smartphonesCase in point: I recently saw an article estimating the
price of the upcoming Nokia N97.  The estimate was about 800,
pre-subsidy.  And that's euros, not dollars.




Monday, January 12, 2009 11:19:00 PM










Anonymous
said...


I think a crucial issue is missing from this discussion.  It's true
the developing world already uses PCs for internet access, mostly in
internet cafes.  Also I agree that the form factor is the crucial
difference between phones and PCs - storage and cpu power is almost
irrelevant, or soon will be.  Also, that phones could easily (and
cheaply) be accessorized into PC-equivalents.But I think the reason
people use, and want to use PCs, is because of the software.  The
internet itself is designed for a PC mode of interaction.  Is this
really the best mode?  I see in developing world internet cafes,
people are mostly using IM, or facebook type apps, downloading music,
or browsing porn.  Excepting the last item, there may well be better,
phone-centric, ways of interacting.  Certainly theres plenty of
opportunity in creatng phone-centric internet application.Ultimately,
phones and PCs (or augmented large-screen/'kb phones) will both
co-exist, and be better suited to different applications, but I
suspect many current applications that are best suited to PCs will be
remodelled, and will ultimately turn out to be better suited to the
phone.




Saturday, January 24, 2009 4:32:00 AM










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News flash: Microsoft lied
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Will the mobile phone really eat the PC?










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(4)

Nokia: Running in molasses
Proposition 8 and community review sites: Everyone...
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Everything you always wanted to know about web com...








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App stores and APIs: It's the ecosystem, stupid
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The end of the dream
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The spontaneous society
How to make a college basketball fan very, very ha...
Maybe it's possible to have too many developers
The iPhone SDK: Apple gets it right
Nokia and Microsoft, sittin' in a tree...
The three laws of technology strategy
Following up on "Mobile Applications, RIP"








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Mobile applications, RIP
What would you like to ask the mobile OS companies...








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cond\75\47data:title !\75 \46quot;\46quot;\47\76\n\74h2
class\75\47title\47\76\74data:title\76\74/data:title\76\74/h2\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74div
class\75\47widget-content\47\76\n\74data:content\76\74/data:content\76\n\74/div\76\n\74b:include
name\75\47quickedit\47\76\74/b:include\076'}},
document.getElementById('HTML6'), {}, 'displayModeFull'));
_WidgetManager._RegisterWidget('_TextView', new _WidgetInfo('Text4',
'sidebar',{'main': {'varName': '', 'template': '\74b:if
cond\75\47data:title !\75 \46quot;\46quot;\47\76\n\74h2
class\75\47title\47\76\74data:title\76\74/data:title\76\74/h2\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74div
class\75\47widget-content\47\76\n\74data:content\76\74/data:content\76\n\74/div\76\n\74b:include
name\75\47quickedit\47\76\74/b:include\076'}},
document.getElementById('Text4'), {}, 'displayModeFull'));
_WidgetManager._RegisterWidget('_AdSenseView', new
_WidgetInfo('AdSense1', 'sidebar',{'main': {'varName': '', 'template':
'\74div
class\75\47widget-content\47\76\n\74data:adCode\76\74/data:adCode\76\n\74b:include
name\75\47quickedit\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/div\076'}},
document.getElementById('AdSense1'), {}, 'displayModeFull'));
_WidgetManager._RegisterWidget('_HTMLView', new _WidgetInfo('HTML7',
'header',{'main': {'varName': '', 'template': '\74b:if
cond\75\47data:title !\75 \46quot;\46quot;\47\76\n\74h2
class\75\47title\47\76\74data:title\76\74/data:title\76\74/h2\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74div
class\75\47widget-content\47\76\n\74data:content\76\74/data:content\76\n\74/div\76\n\74b:include
name\75\47quickedit\47\76\74/b:include\076'}},
document.getElementById('HTML7'), {}, 'displayModeFull'));
_WidgetManager._RegisterWidget('_ImageView', new _WidgetInfo('Image1',
'header',{'main': {'varName': '', 'template': '\74b:if
cond\75\47data:title !\75
\46quot;\46quot;\47\76\n\74h2\76\74data:title\76\74/data:title\76\74/h2\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74div
class\75\47widget-content\47\76\n\74b:if cond\75\47data:link !\75
\46quot;\46quot;\47\76\n\74a expr:href\75\47data:link\47\76\n\74img
expr:alt\75\47data:title\47 expr:height\75\47data:height\47
expr:id\75\47data:widget.instanceId + \46quot;_img\46quot;\47
expr:src\75\47data:sourceUrl\47
expr:width\75\47data:width\47/\76\n\74/a\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74img
expr:alt\75\47data:title\47 expr:height\75\47data:height\47
expr:id\75\47data:widget.instanceId + \46quot;_img\46quot;\47
expr:src\75\47data:sourceUrl\47
expr:width\75\47data:width\47/\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74br/\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:caption !\75 \46quot;\46quot;\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47caption\47\76\74data:caption\76\74/data:caption\76\74/span\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/div\76\n\74b:include
name\75\47quickedit\47\76\74/b:include\076'}},
document.getElementById('Image1'), {'resize': false},
'displayModeFull'));
_WidgetManager._RegisterWidget('_HeaderView', new
_WidgetInfo('Header1', 'header'));
_WidgetManager._RegisterWidget('_NavbarView', new
_WidgetInfo('Navbar1', 'navbar'));
_WidgetManager._RegisterWidget('_BlogView', new _WidgetInfo('Blog1',
'main',{'main': {'varName': 'top', 'template': '\74div
class\75\47blog-posts hfeed\47\76\n\74b:include data\75\47top\47
name\75\47status-message\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74data:defaultAdStart\76\74/data:defaultAdStart\76\n\74b:loop
values\75\47data:posts\47 var\75\47post\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.dateHeader\47\76\n\74h2
class\75\47date-header\47\76\74data:post.dateHeader\76\74/data:post.dateHeader\76\74/h2\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74b:include
data\75\47post\47 name\75\47post\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:blog.pageType \75\75
\46quot;static_page\46quot;\47\76\n\74b:include data\75\47post\47
name\75\47comments\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:blog.pageType \75\75
\46quot;item\46quot;\47\76\n\74b:include data\75\47post\47
name\75\47comments\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.includeAd\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.isFirstPost\47\76\n\74data:defaultAdEnd\76\74/data:defaultAdEnd\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74data:adEnd\76\74/data:adEnd\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74div
class\75\47inline-ad\47\76\n\74data:adCode\76\74/data:adCode\76\n\74/div\76\n\74data:adStart\76\74/data:adStart\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.trackLatency\47\76\n\74data:post.latencyJs\76\74/data:post.latencyJs\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:loop\76\n\74data:adEnd\76\74/data:adEnd\76\n\74/div\76\n\74b:include
name\75\47nextprev\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74b:include
name\75\47feedLinks\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:top.showStars\47\76\n\74script
src\75\47http://www.google.com/jsapi\47
type\75\47text/javascript\47\76\74/script\76\n\74script
type\75\47text/javascript\47\76\n     
google.load(\46quot;annotations\46quot;, \46quot;1\46quot;,
{\46quot;locale\46quot;:
\46quot;\74data:top.languageCode\76\74/data:top.languageCode\76\46quot;});\n
     function initialize() {\n       
google.annotations.setApplicationId(\74data:top.blogspotReviews\76\74/data:top.blogspotReviews\76);\n
       google.annotations.createAll();\n       
google.annotations.fetch();\n      }\n     
google.setOnLoadCallback(initialize);\n   
\74/script\76\n\74/b:if\076'}, 'nextprev': {'varName': '', 'template':
'\74div class\75\47blog-pager\47 id\75\47blog-pager\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:newerPageUrl\47\76\n\74span
id\75\47blog-pager-newer-link\47\76\n\74a
class\75\47blog-pager-newer-link\47
expr:href\75\47data:newerPageUrl\47
expr:id\75\47data:widget.instanceId +
\46quot;_blog-pager-newer-link\46quot;\47
expr:title\75\47data:newerPageTitle\47\76\74data:newerPageTitle\76\74/data:newerPageTitle\76\74/a\76\n\74/span\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:olderPageUrl\47\76\n\74span
id\75\47blog-pager-older-link\47\76\n\74a
class\75\47blog-pager-older-link\47
expr:href\75\47data:olderPageUrl\47
expr:id\75\47data:widget.instanceId +
\46quot;_blog-pager-older-link\46quot;\47
expr:title\75\47data:olderPageTitle\47\76\74data:olderPageTitle\76\74/data:olderPageTitle\76\74/a\76\n\74/span\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:blog.homepageUrl !\75 data:blog.url\47\76\n\74a
class\75\47home-link\47
expr:href\75\47data:blog.homepageUrl\47\76\74data:homeMsg\76\74/data:homeMsg\76\74/a\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:newerPageUrl\47\76\n\74a class\75\47home-link\47
expr:href\75\47data:blog.homepageUrl\47\76\74data:homeMsg\76\74/data:homeMsg\76\74/a\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/div\76\n\74div
class\75\47clear\47\76\74/div\076'}, 'post': {'varName': 'post',
'template': '\74div class\75\47post
uncustomized-post-template\47\76\n\74a
expr:name\75\47data:post.id\47\76\74/a\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.title\47\76\n\74h3
class\75\47post-title\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.link\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:post.link\47\76\74data:post.title\76\74/data:post.title\76\74/a\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.url\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:post.url\47\76\74data:post.title\76\74/data:post.title\76\74/a\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74data:post.title\76\74/data:post.title\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/h3\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74div
class\75\47post-header-line-1\47\76\74/div\76\n\74div
class\75\47post-body\47\76\n\74p\76\74data:post.body\76\74/data:post.body\76\74/p\76\n\74div
style\75\47clear: both;\47\76\74/div\76\n\74/div\76\n\74div
class\75\47post-footer\47\76\n\74p class\75\47post-footer-line
post-footer-line-1\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47post-author\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:top.showAuthor\47\76\n\74data:top.authorLabel\76\74/data:top.authorLabel\76\n\74data:post.author\76\74/data:post.author\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/span\76\n\74span
class\75\47post-timestamp\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:top.showTimestamp\47\76\n\74data:top.timestampLabel\76\74/data:top.timestampLabel\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.url\47\76\n\74data:post.timestamp\76\74/data:post.timestamp\76\n\74a
class\75\47timestamp-link\47 expr:href\75\47data:post.url\47
title\75\47permanent link\47\76 Permalink. \74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.numComments \75\75 1\47\0761 comment.
\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\74data:post.numComments\76\74/data:post.numComments\76
comments. \74/b:if\76 Click here to read post with
comments.\74/a\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/span\76\n\74span
class\75\47post-comment-link\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:blog.pageType !\75 \46quot;item\46quot;\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.allowComments\47\76\n\74a
class\75\47comment-link\47 expr:href\75\47data:post.addCommentUrl\47
expr:onclick\75\47data:post.addCommentOnclick\47\76Click here to post
a comment.\74/a\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/span\76\n\74span
class\75\47post-backlinks post-comment-link\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:blog.pageType !\75 \46quot;item\46quot;\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.showBacklinks\47\76\n\74a
class\75\47comment-link\47 expr:href\75\47data:post.url +
\46quot;#links\46quot;\47\76\74data:top.backlinkLabel\76\74/data:top.backlinkLabel\76\74/a\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/span\76\n\74span
class\75\47post-icons\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.emailPostUrl\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47item-action\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:post.emailPostUrl\47
expr:title\75\47data:top.emailPostMsg\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47email-post-icon\47\76\46#160;\74/span\76\n\74/a\76\n\74/span\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74b:include
data\75\47post\47
name\75\47postQuickEdit\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/span\76\n\74/p\76\n\74p
class\75\47post-footer-line post-footer-line-2\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47post-labels\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.labels\47\76\n\74data:postLabelsLabel\76\74/data:postLabelsLabel\76\n\74b:loop
values\75\47data:post.labels\47 var\75\47label\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:label.url\47
rel\75\47tag\47\76\74data:label.name\76\74/data:label.name\76\74/a\76\74b:if
cond\75\47data:label.isLast !\75
\46quot;true\46quot;\47\76,\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:loop\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/span\76\n\74/p\76\n\74p
class\75\47post-footer-line
post-footer-line-3\47\76\74/p\76\n\74/div\76\n\74/div\076'},
'postQuickEdit': {'varName': 'post', 'template': '\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.editUrl\47\76\n\74span
expr:class\75\47\46quot;item-control \46quot; +
data:post.adminClass\47\76\n\74a expr:href\75\47data:post.editUrl\47
expr:title\75\47data:top.editPostMsg\47\76\n\74img alt\75\47\47
class\75\47icon-action\47 height\75\04718\47
src\75\47http://www.blogger.com/img/icon18_edit_allbkg.gif\47
width\75\04718\47/\76\n\74/a\76\n\74/span\76\n\74/b:if\076'},
'commentDeleteIcon': {'varName': 'comment', 'template': '\74span
expr:class\75\47\46quot;item-control \46quot; +
data:comment.adminClass\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:comment.deleteUrl\47
expr:title\75\47data:top.deleteCommentMsg\47\76\n\74img
src\75\47http://www.blogger.com/img/icon_delete13.gif\47/\76\n\74/a\76\n\74/span\076'},
'backlinkDeleteIcon': {'varName': 'backlink', 'template': '\74span
expr:class\75\47\46quot;item-control \46quot; +
data:backlink.adminClass\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:backlink.deleteUrl\47
expr:title\75\47data:top.deleteBacklinkMsg\47\76\n\74img
src\75\47http://www.blogger.com/img/icon_delete13.gif\47/\76\n\74/a\76\n\74/span\076'},
'comments': {'varName': 'post', 'template': '\74div
class\75\47comments\47 id\75\47comments\47\76\n\74a
name\75\47comments\47\76\74/a\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.allowComments\47\76\n\74h4\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.numComments \75\75 1\47\76\n          1
\74data:commentLabel\76\74/data:commentLabel\76:\n       
\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74data:post.numComments\76\74/data:post.numComments\76\n\74data:commentLabelPlural\76\74/data:commentLabelPlural\76:\n
       \74/b:if\76\n\74/h4\76\n\74dl
id\75\47comments-block\47\76\n\74b:loop
values\75\47data:post.comments\47 var\75\47comment\47\76\n\74dt
class\75\47comment-author\47 expr:id\75\47\46quot;comment-\46quot; +
data:comment.id\47\76\n\74a expr:name\75\47\46quot;comment-\46quot; +
data:comment.id\47\76\74/a\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:comment.authorUrl\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:comment.authorUrl\47
rel\75\47nofollow\47\76\74data:comment.author\76\74/data:comment.author\76\74/a\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74data:comment.author\76\74/data:comment.author\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74data:commentPostedByMsg\76\74/data:commentPostedByMsg\76\n\74/dt\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:comment.author \75\75 data:post.author\47\76\n\74dd
class\75\47comment-body-author\47\76\n\74p\76\74data:comment.body\76\74/data:comment.body\76\74/p\76\n\74/dd\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74dd
class\75\47comment-body\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:comment.isDeleted\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47deleted-comment\47\76\74data:comment.body\76\74/data:comment.body\76\74/span\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74p\76\74data:comment.body\76\74/data:comment.body\76\74/p\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/dd\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74dd
class\75\47comment-footer\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47comment-timestamp\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47\46quot;#comment-\46quot; + data:comment.id\47
title\75\47comment
permalink\47\76\n\74data:comment.timestamp\76\74/data:comment.timestamp\76\n\74/a\76\n\74b:include
data\75\47comment\47
name\75\47commentDeleteIcon\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/span\76\n\74/dd\76\n\74/b:loop\76\n\74/dl\76\n\74p
class\75\47comment-footer\47\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:post.addCommentUrl\47
expr:onclick\75\47data:post.addCommentOnclick\47\76\74data:postCommentMsg\76\74/data:postCommentMsg\76\74/a\76\n\74/p\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74div
id\75\47backlinks-container\47\76\n\74div
expr:id\75\47data:widget.instanceId +
\46quot;_backlinks-container\46quot;\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.showBacklinks\47\76\n\74b:include
data\75\47post\47
name\75\47backlinks\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/div\76\n\74/div\76\n\74/div\076'},
'comment-form': {'varName': 'post', 'template': '\74div
class\75\47comment-form\47\76\n\74a
name\75\47comment-form\47\76\74/a\76\n\74h4
id\75\47comment-post-message\47\76\74data:postCommentMsg\76\74/data:postCommentMsg\76\74/h4\76\n\74p\76\74data:blogCommentMessage\76\74/data:blogCommentMessage\76\74/p\76\n\74data:blogTeamBlogMessage\76\74/data:blogTeamBlogMessage\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:post.commentFormIframeSrc\47
id\75\47comment-editor-src\47\76\74/a\76\n\74iframe
allowtransparency\75\47true\47 class\75\47blogger-iframe-colorize
blogger-comment-from-post\47 frameborder\75\0470\47
height\75\047410\47 id\75\47comment-editor\47
name\75\47comment-editor\47 src\75\47\47
width\75\047100%\47\76\74/iframe\76\n\74data:post.friendConnectJs\76\74/data:post.friendConnectJs\76\n\74data:post.cmtfpIframe\76\74/data:post.cmtfpIframe\76\n\74script
type\75\47text/javascript\47\76\n     
BLOG_CMT_createIframe(\46#39;\74data:post.appRpcRelayPath\76\74/data:post.appRpcRelayPath\76\46#39;,
\46#39;\74data:post.communityId\76\74/data:post.communityId\76\46#39;);\n
   \74/script\76\n\74/div\076'}, 'backlinks': {'varName': 'post',
'template': '\74a
name\75\47links\47\76\74/a\76\74h4\76\74data:post.backlinksLabel\76\74/data:post.backlinksLabel\76\74/h4\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.numBacklinks !\75 0\47\76\n\74dl
class\75\47comments-block\47 id\75\47comments-block\47\76\n\74b:loop
values\75\47data:post.backlinks\47 var\75\47backlink\47\76\n\74div
class\75\47collapsed-backlink backlink-control\47\76\n\74dt
class\75\47comment-title\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47backlink-toggle-zippy\47\76\46#160;\74/span\76\n\74a
expr:href\75\47data:backlink.url\47
rel\75\47nofollow\47\76\74data:backlink.title\76\74/data:backlink.title\76\74/a\76\n\74b:include
data\75\47backlink\47
name\75\47backlinkDeleteIcon\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/dt\76\n\74dd
class\75\47comment-body
collapseable\47\76\n\74data:backlink.snippet\76\74/data:backlink.snippet\76\n\74/dd\76\n\74dd
class\75\47comment-footer collapseable\47\76\n\74span
class\75\47comment-author\47\76\74data:post.authorLabel\76\74/data:post.authorLabel\76\n\74data:backlink.author\76\74/data:backlink.author\76\74/span\76\n\74span
class\75\47comment-timestamp\47\76\74data:post.timestampLabel\76\74/data:post.timestampLabel\76\n\74data:backlink.timestamp\76\74/data:backlink.timestamp\76\74/span\76\n\74/dd\76\n\74/div\76\n\74/b:loop\76\n\74/dl\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74p
class\75\47comment-footer\47\76\n\74a class\75\47comment-link\47
expr:href\75\47data:post.createLinkUrl\47
expr:id\75\47data:widget.instanceId +
\46quot;_backlinks-create-link\46quot;\47
target\75\47_blank\47\76\74data:post.createLinkLabel\76\74/data:post.createLinkLabel\76\74/a\76\n\74/p\076'},
'feedLinks': {'varName': '', 'template': '\74b:if
cond\75\47data:blog.pageType !\75 \46quot;item\46quot;\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:feedLinks\47\76\n\74div
class\75\47blog-feeds\47\76\n\74b:include data\75\47feedLinks\47
name\75\47feedLinksBody\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/div\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74b:else\76\74/b:else\76\n\74div
class\75\47post-feeds\47\76\n\74b:loop values\75\47data:posts\47
var\75\47post\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.allowComments\47\76\n\74b:if
cond\75\47data:post.feedLinks\47\76\n\74b:include
data\75\47post.feedLinks\47
name\75\47feedLinksBody\47\76\74/b:include\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:if\76\n\74/b:loop\76\n\74/div\76\n\74/b:if\076'},
'feedLinksBody': {'varName': 'links', 'template': '\74div
class\75\47feed-links\47\76\n\74data:feedLinksMsg\76\74/data:feedLinksMsg\76\n\74b:loop
values\75\47data:links\47 var\75\47f\47\76\n\74a
class\75\47feed-link\47 expr:href\75\47data:f.url\47
expr:type\75\47data:f.mimeType\47
target\75\47_blank\47\76\74data:f.name\76\74/data:f.name\76
(\74data:f.feedType\76\74/data:f.feedType\76)\74/a\76\n\74/b:loop\76\n\74/div\076'},
'status-message': {'varName': '', 'template': '\74b:if
cond\75\47data:navMessage\47\76\n\74div
class\75\47status-msg-wrap\47\76\n\74div
class\75\47status-msg-body\47\76\n\74data:navMessage\76\74/data:navMessage\76\n\74/div\76\n\74div
class\75\47status-msg-border\47\76\n\74div
class\75\47status-msg-bg\47\76\n\74div
class\75\47status-msg-hidden\47\76\74data:navMessage\76\74/data:navMessage\76\74/div\76\n\74/div\76\n\74/div\76\n\74/div\76\n\74div
style\75\47clear: both;\47\76\74/div\76\n\74/b:if\076'}},
document.getElementById('Blog1'), {'showBacklinks': true, 'postId':
'5284362622050944606'}, 'displayModeFull'));

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